Despite his great season, Matt Ryan is still a rookie, and he’s playing his first playoff game on the road. Let's make up one bad prediction just to cross today off: "I don't care how bad this looks for Conan O'Brien, I think losing 'The Tonight Show' is gonna be the best thing that ever happened to him."). All rights reserved. So that's what I learned in the previous decade. Philadelphia was 9-6-1. Seven?) Posted by kornstein999. Did you know that San Diego’s record this season against playoff teams is 0-5? At 11-5, Baltimore’s losses include an overtime loss at Pittsburgh, a 3-point loss vs. Tennessee, and the controversial 13-9 loss vs. Pittsburgh in week 15. No analysis this week. Expect sacks, fumbles, interceptions, and possibly even a Gus Frerotte sighting. Even when the 2003/2004 Patriots rolled off their incredible 33-4 streak, three of their six playoff games (including both Super Bowls) came down to the final two minutes. to taunt them. For every Simmons column, as well as podcasts, videos and more, check out Sports Guy's World. Anquan Boldin will have first reception (+450) – Even if there was a 50/50 chance that Arizona receives the opening kickoff, these would appear to be generous odds. Absolutely. This wasn't true. Tarvaris Jackson is the starting quarterback for the Vikings, who allowed the 7th most sacks during the year. Ben Roethsliberger under 237.5 passing yards (-110) – Roethlisberger had over 220 yards in only 7 out of 18 games, and most of those games were either against good rush defenses or in games where Pittsburgh trailed. I know that the Colts will show up and play good football and at ‘pickem’, this is an easy choice for me. 7? It had all the makings of one of those "we just didn't have it" years, but everyone was overrating them as a contender. 2000s: 784-851, Research courtesy of ESPN and vegasinsider.com. Starting with the "Snow Game" (what Patriots fans call "The Tuck Rule Game"), I noticed that one Saturday night game was memorable every postseason; the underdogs had covered the previous five in a row; and 10 of the 17 Saturday-nighters were memorable in some way. We're all about extremes these days. Leave a Comment » | NFL Playoffs 2009 (2008 Season) | Permalink Now? Strange Gambling Advice: Even though I think New England will win, I like Baltimore's Super Bowl odds (25-1) as a long-shot wager. They ran the ball a league-high 607 times (Carolina was second at 525) and threw the ball a league-low 393 times (Seattle was second at 441). Rushing Leader: Chris Johnson, 2006 Yds. They were basically the same guy: Called their own plays, audibled at the line, barked at teammates, turned solid guys into All-Pros, always made opponents pay if you let them hang around. I'm not talking about innovations like HD, the NFL Network, gigantic plasmas and LCDs, the work of the Football Outsiders guys, DirecTV's Red Zone package, grotesquely swollen pregame shows (crap, that's not an innovation), and running backs insulting their coaches on Twitter. Possible Tragic Figure: Embattled Dallas kicker du jour. Beware of hyperbole for the sake of hyperbole. 2006: 76-93 Full Games and Highlights from the 2009 NFL Playoffs. Baltimore’s defense? As far as you know. Arizona is surprisingly decent (top half of the league) in defending the rush. Weird comparison, but I was watching "Basic Instinct" the other night and thinking about how insane it was that Sharon Stone -- who put herself on the Smoking Hot Map in 1984 with "Irreconcilable Differences" -- toiled away for eight solid years before "Instinct" made her a superstar. Umm … not really. head-to-head record over Philadelphia Eagles, win percentage in common games over Philadelphia Eagles, conference win percentage over New York Giants, San Francisco 49ers, conference win percentage over New York Giants, strength of victory over Cincinnati Bengals, win percentage in common games over Pittsburgh Steelers, conference win percentage over Tennessee Titans, head-to-head record over Jacksonville Jaguars, head-to-head record over Las Vegas Raiders. The Cardinals were 3-5 on the road with their only wins against the Rams, Seahawks and 49ers. This one should be interesting but I like the ‘Over’. Vikings 2. Mewelde Moore (40 receptions) is their third-down back, not Parker. When I asked the guy if he was related to Crosby, he said, "No, I just like him." It's all-consuming. The Falcons have to travel across the country to Arizona, which hasn’t hosted a playoff game since who knows when. Miami is the lowest scoring team in the playoffs. McNabb's Eagles know if their long passes aren't connecting, they will lose. 1993: 65-81 Super Bowl Champion: New Orleans Saints. The rest of the season is for him. Couldn't resist. Now, Wes Welker's soul-crushing injury and news of Brady's various injuries restored the natural order for them: They went from overrated and undefinable to slightly underrated and definable. Possible Playoff Doppelganger: Colts-Chiefs from 2006. Although we've never really figured out why. Every football team should be motivated in the playoffs, right? Or write about sports? What should I have learned about the NFL in these past 10 years? and Paul Crewe Memorial "We've come too far to stop now" status. But if either team gets hot, look out. The Ravens have scored at least 24 points in 9 of their final 11 games and at least 33 in 5 of them. In the old days, the Patriots feasted on teams that killed themselves. There is no such thing as a juggernaut anymore. You never want your team to be too pleased with itself (like the 2001 Rams or 2007 Pats) or overconfident for dubious reasons (see Ryan's quote above). It’s not happening two years a row. Good value here. Although it SEEMS like they're doing business. He has no heart! Chargers 3. The rest was history. The Jets want to make it through this game without Sanchez having to make any plays … but the Bengals know this. Right? 1 Comment | NFL Playoffs 2009 (2008 Season) | Tagged: afc championship, cardinals, eagles, nfc championship, nfl playoffs, ravens, steelers | Permalink I have not heard anyone successfully make a case for Arizona this week that didn't involve the words "home field," "God" and "puppies. I want the points. Philip Rivers will have to win the game against the #1 pass defense in one of the toughest places to play, especially in mid-January. You think Philly is afraid of Dallas' goofy stadium this weekend? 1995: 71-81 Is it really that much of a dropoff?

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